Predicting the future of technology.

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55% hit rate4% TBD45% miss

How Disney Broke Cable TV... and Netflix?

In December of last year (still feels weird saying that), Disney announced its intent to acquire 21st Century Fox. Before I go on to explain why movie theaters are royally screwed by this...

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DisneyNetflixFox

Selected Signals

EssayMiss

Journalism: The Future Of Snapchat?

"Just because Yahoo has a search box doesn't mean they're Google" Evan Spiegel believes that his company has enough of a moat and a product differentiation that users won't jump over from...

SnapFacebook
EssayPartial

Amazon Bought Whole Foods For This Secret Product

The first thing to note is that Jeff Bezos is a very intelligent man and that a move towards grocery has been in the works for a while now. But it's not a gamble, nor was it a binge...

AmazonWhole Foods
Essay

The Real Reason Why Facebook Introduced Reactions

You may have noticed a very interesting feature, that's been widely liked (or love reacted to) by Facebook users, that has just made its way to messages and comments - FB reactions 😍 It...

Facebook
EssayHit

Why Snapchat Is In Hot Trouble (With A Little Help From Facebook)

On May 10th of this month, SNAP Inc. will be hosting its first quarterly conference since its IPO. Why does this matter?

SnapFacebook
Quick takeHit

The greatest “Easy” revenue lever that Netflix has is not letting folks share...

They didn’t care in the past because password sharing introduced new customers to the beauty of Netflix and non-linear television! They’d rather you...

Netflix
Essay

The Real Secret to Amazon, Netflix, and Spotify's Success

To clear any misconceptions, this stream isn’t about some covert Tech perk like nap-pods or on-campus bikes that exponentially increase productivity amongst employees. I’m going to be...

AmazonNetflixSpotify
Quick takeMiss

Netflix and Amazon should consider a 'grandparents' streaming plan.

In the midst of COVID, senior citizens and older folk are unfortunately at high risk. So (on avg and as much as possible), they're trying to stay...

NetflixAmazon
Essay

The Logical Vaccine Rollout Strategy (v1)

A data-driven answer to our vaccine problems. Today, we can’t move our vaccines from point A to point B; public transportation is our fix. Summary:

BARTBlue Shield
EssayMiss

Why Amazon is Going Backwards to Move Forward

E-commerce is the future of shopping. Though some disagree, the majority of industry experts, CEOs, companies, and mom-and-pop-shop owners would tell you the same.

Amazon
EssayHit

The Real Reason Disney Is Spending $70 Billion

What can you buy for $70 Billion? It’s not a rhetorical question. Let’s delicately walk through what you could theoretically purchase with Mark Zuckerberg’s net worth:

DisneyFoxNetflix
EssayPartial

The Real Future of Ride-Sharing

As Thanksgiving dinners begin for those in the US, here’s something that’ll impress even the most stringent of relatives - Ride-sharing is expected to be a $100B market in a matter of 3...

UberLyftTesla
EssayMiss

Why the World (and you) should be Watching Zillow

No matter what you're doing, you need to closely watch what Zillow is up to. At this point you're thinking one of two things - either you're thinking "what in the world is a Zillow?" or...

Zillow
Quick take

H&M's Free Suit Rental Is a Smart Hiring-Equity Product

A 2022 equity/product take: H&M's free 24-hour suit rental removed one job-search barrier; the bigger opportunity is access to the rest of the interview stack.

H&MLinkedIn
Quick takeMiss

The difference in type of curve is why Salesforce acquiring Slack could be a good thing.

A 2021 distribution thesis: Microsoft Teams grew through enterprise-default distribution; Salesforce could give Slack a comparable enterprise curve if the product was strong enough.

SalesforceSlackMicrosoft
EssayMiss

How Google Can Fight Facebook (Hint: Snapchat Helps)

Google should Buy Snap Inc. Yes, you read that correctly. Google, the search engine giant, should buy Snap Inc, the exciting tech startup that was meant to rule the hearts of millennials....

GoogleSnapFacebook
EssayMiss

Disney Should Open Up Movie Theaters

I know what you’re thinking - why would the general public pay a ridiculous $8.97 (the average movie ticket price for 2017), to just watch Mickey Mouse. Well, the reality is - in 2 years...

DisneyNetflix
EssayMiss

The Real Reason Google Wants To Be In Your Home

I'm sure you read the title - Google wants to be in your home. Literally.

GoogleAmazon
Essay

Amazon's Latest Venture (Hint: It's Not Whole Foods)

Written in 2017. The specific Amazon messaging-app bet did not become a breakout product; the durable thesis is Amazon trying to capture more customer attention around commerce, media,...

AmazonFacebook
EssayHit

T-Mobile is Trying to Win an Election with the Sprint Merger

Where do I begin? Well, now that I’ve started with that sentence - I can comfortably segue into any dimension of this incredibly interesting merger. T-Mobile and Sprint have announced plans...

T-MobileSprint
Essay

The Real Reason Facebook Bought This 3-Month Old Startup... For Almost $100M

As you may have heard, or as the title may have prompted you to believe - Facebook just acquired a very young startup that launched their product 70 days ago. After hearing this, you're...

FacebookGoogleSnap
EssayHit

The Real Reason Why CVS is Spending $69 Billion

To understand the first reason as to why CVS is purchasing an insurance company for $69 Billion, we need to take a step back. You need to understand how your doctor, your insurance, and...

CVSAetna
Essay

Dear Tesla, Please Don't Become A McDonald's

Tesla could become the next McDonald’s, and it would be a shame. No, Tesla isn’t going to sell dollar menu items...probably? As silly or as irrelevant as it may seem, just bear with me for...

TeslaMcDonald's
Quick take

Absolutely wild how Amazon Prime subscriptions (aka the prime 'membership fee') alone...

That's roughly equivalent to the revenues of Uber and Lyft combined, and doesn't even include the amount prime members actually spend to purchase...

Amazon
EssayHit

Why Bad Eyesight Is Going To Get (Even More) Expensive

Let me tell you why. This is going to require a bit of audience participation. Not too much, but just a little bit - bear with me. Have you ever heard of Ray-Ban sunglasses? What about any...

EssilorLuxotticaRay-BanLensCrafters
Quick take

Berkeley CS188 Is Still One of the Best Ways to Understand AI

A 2024 AI-learning note: Berkeley CS188 is one of the cleanest public paths into the mechanics behind search, planning, probabilistic models, and reinforcement learning.

BerkeleyLinkedIn
Quick takeHit

It's becoming clearer that Sam Altman was removed as CEO because of governance...

He wasn't fired because OpenAI was doing poorly — he was fired because his board wasn't aligned with Sam. Just 24 hours later, I don't think it's too late for the situation to be salvaged.

OpenAIMicrosoft
Quick takeWaiting

TikTok has significantly reduced quality of life, particularly in Western markets.

For something that takes up 12% of leisure time, it's uniquely dangerous. There will be a lookback on how detrimental the business was on a generation's mindshare.

TikTokNetflix
Quick takePartial

An extension for the music streaming industry that may have a ton of money in it...

What if streaming platforms start releasing 1-hour long specials for new-releasing music albums — a movie-like experience, sold à la carte, priced closer to a film.

SpotifyApple
Quick takeHit

I think we're going to see a spike in vaccination rates over the next 4 weeks...

Driven by a large flurry of businesses that will require vaccinations to do business / enter (at least in the US).

Quick takeHit

A $20B public company may very well be completely fraudulent?

A company that has yet to build and sell a working product, had successfully sold 11% of itself for $2B to General Motors. 2020 somehow manages to surprise.

NikolaGM
Quick takePartial

The future of Snap Inc. in one picture = bridging the virtual and real world...

Bridging the virtual and real world through a camera (and I'm sure Meta won't be too far behind).

SnapFacebook